Croatia
Croatia performs in the high range for Representation and exhibits mid-range performance in the other three categories of the Global State of Democracy (GSoD) framework. It ranks amongst the top 25 per cent of countries in the majority of Representation factors as well as in several factors of Rights (including Civil Liberties), and of Rule of Law (Personal Integrity and Security and Judicial Independence). Between 2019-2024, there were no significant changes in the country. Croatia has a service-based economy, with tourism being its most important branch.
Croatia became a kingdom in the 10th century and was divided between the Habsburg Monarchy, Ottoman Empire, and Venice from the 15th to 18th centuries. After WWII, Croatia became a federal republic within Yugoslavia. Declaring independence in 1991, Croatia faced a rebellion from Croatian Serbs supported by the Yugoslav People's Army and Serbia, with fighting effectively ending in 1995. For over a century, Croatian politics has been shaped by conflicts over national identity and the role of religion and tradition. These divisions evolved through critical historical events, including the formation of Yugoslavia, WWII and post-war communism, and the 1990s independence war. Croatia is an ethnically and religiously diverse country, with Serbs being the largest minority group, followed by Bosniaks and Roma. Discrimination against minority groups, including Serbs and Roma, persists in the form of hate crimes and hate speech.
The Catholic Church, which represents Croatia’s most sizeable religious community, plays a significant role in society. The country has struggled with depopulation and massive emigration, and brain drain has been named as an existential issue in recent years. The recent surge in migrant arrivals created another significant societal cleavage, with the country facing accusations of mistreatment and pushback of migrants.
Croatia faced corruption scandals involving political elites, leading to politicization of institutions and dissatisfaction. This has been exacerbated by disputes over the balance of power between politicians and the judiciary. Concerns persist about the political independence of the public broadcaster HRT, along with pressures, attacksand threats on journalists. Croatia is among the EU member states with the highest number of strategic lawsuits against public participation (SLAPPs), which are used to intimidate and pressure the press. In 2024, the ruling coalition passed a controversial law against whistleblowers.
Despite high performance in Gender Equality, constitutional guarantees and legislative progress, Croatia faces ongoing gender-based inequality, with persistent gaps in work, money, knowledge, time, power, and health. Abortion, while legal, is often inaccessible due to pressure from religious and neo-conservative groups. A 2013 referendum banned same-sex marriage, and discrimination and hate speech against LGBTQIA+ individuals persist. However, there have been advancements, such as rulings allowing same-sex couples to provide foster care (2020), adopt children (2021), and legal actions against extremist vigilantes (2022 and 2023).
Looking ahead, it is crucial to watch the Rule of Law, especially Absence of Corruption and Judicial Independence, given high-level corruption and accountability issues. Attention is needed for Freedom of the Press, given journalist intimidation and SLAPPs. Focus on Gender Equality, Economic Equality, and Social Group Equality is vital, considering ongoing gender inequality, barriers to abortion, and discrimination against minorities, migrants, and the LGBTQIA+ community. Lastly, Basic Welfare must be watched due to depopulation and brain drain challenges.
Last updated: July 2025
https://www.idea.int/democracytracker/
September 2026
Toxic waste dumping triggers mass protest over enforcement failures
On 5 September, one of Croatia’s largest recent protests was held over alleged institutional failures to address illegal toxic waste dumping near Gospić. Organised by the citizens’ initiative ‘Gospić Is Our Home’, the protest followed the arrest of 13 people in a Europol-supported investigation, which later expanded to suspected official and regulatory wrongdoing. Media reported that environmental inspectors had sought the withdrawal of the operator’s permit in 2024, but local authorities later issued a new one. Public anger intensified after findings from anti-corruption authorities contradicted government assurances that soil and water were not contaminated. Protesters demanded a clean-up plan and stronger environmental monitoring and accountability. The government announced waste-removal and enforcement measures and responded to one of the protesters’ central demands by publishing a detailed remediation plan on 25 September. Campaigners continued to press for implementation.
Sources: Hrvatska Radiotelevizija (1), Hrvatska Radiotelevizija (2), Al Jazeera, Deutsche Welle
March 2026
Parliament adopts law implementing European Media Freedom Act
On 6 March, the Croatian Parliament passed a law adapting the national media framework to the European Media Freedom Act (EMFA), an EU Regulation directly applicable since August 2025. The law establishes the national institutional framework for its implementation, expanding the existing media regulator into a new Agency for Media with oversight extending to print media. It also strengthens transparency requirements on media ownership, funding and state advertising, and requires the labelling of AI-generated content. The government argued that the reform would enhance media independence, accountability and transparency. Critics, including opposition parties such as the SDP and Možemo! and media freedom organisations, argued that the law meets only the minimum requirements and fails to address longstanding political and economic pressure on independent journalism.
Sources: Croatian Parliament, Balkan Insight, European Centre for Press & Media Freedom, Hrvatska Radiotelevizija
December 2024
Presidential elections fall short of establishing majority in first round
On 29 December, Croatia held the first round of its presidential elections, but no candidate secured a majority. A run-off will take place on 12 January. Incumbent President Zoran Milanović, backed by the Social Democratic Party (SDP), received the most votes with 49.1 per cent. Dragan Primorac, the candidate of the Croatian Democratic Union (HDZ) of Prime Minister Andrej Plenković, came second with 19.4 per cent and will challenge Milanović in the second round. Voter turnout was 46.0 per cent.
UPDATE: On 12 January, Croatia held the second round of its presidential elections. The incumbent President Zoran Milanović, backed by the Social Democratic Party (SDP), garnered 74.7 per cent of the vote, whereas the ruling centre-right Croatian Democratic Union, HDZ candidate, Dragan Primorac, secured around 25.3 per cent of the vote. Voter turnout was 44 per cent.
Sources: Balkan Insight, Politico, State Election Commission, International IDEA
New Sources: Hrvatska Radiotelevizija, Balkan Insight, State Election Commission, International IDEA (1), International IDEA (2)
April 2024
Conservative incumbent HDZ party wins parliamentary elections
In the parliamentary elections held on 17 April, the conservative Croatian Democratic Union (HDZ) remained the largest group with 34.4 per cent of the vote (winning 61 out of 151 seats, six fewer than they won in 2020), while the Social Democratic Party (SPD) coalition came second with 25.4 per cent of the vote. The right-wing party, Homeland Movement was third with 9.6 per cent. The campaign featured Prime Minister Andrej Plenković (HDZ) versus President Zoran Milanović (SDP). Women won 24.5 per cent of parliamentary seats, totaling 37 seats, an increase of two from 2020, marking the highest number since the country gained independence. Voter turnout was 62.3 per cent, up from 46.9 per cent in 2020.
Sources: State Election Commission (1), State Election Commission (2), Reuters, The Association of the Balkan News Agencies Southeast Europe, International IDEA (1), International IDEA (2)
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