Syrian Arab Republic
The Syrian Arab Republic exhibits low-range performance across all four categories of the Global State of Democracy (GSoD) conceptual framework. It falls among the world’s bottom 25 per cent of countries in almost all factors. Compared to five years prior, it has experienced declines in Economic Equality. Syria is undergoing a political transition after President Bashar al-Assad was ousted by a coalition of Islamist militants in December 2024, marking a turning point in the civil war that began with the 2011 popular uprisings. Years of conflict, infrastructure damage, and international sanctions severely strained the economy. Sanctions are now gradually being eased to facilitate recovery.
The GSoD Indices data only reflect events inside government-controlled territory.
Syria was under Ottoman rule for over 400 years before falling under French control after World War I and gaining independence in 1946. Its diverse population is predominantly Sunni Muslim, followed by Alawites, Druze, Ismailis, and Christians. Post-independence Syria saw frequent coups, culminating in the 1963 coup by the Arab nationalist and socialist Baath Party. In 1970, Hafez al-Assad seized power, beginning a decades-long family rule. Upon his death in 2000, his son Bashar inherited a regime marked by centralized authority, sectarian co-optation favoring Alawites, and violent repression. In 2011, protests against the regime escalated into a civil war that devastated Syria and displaced about 13 million people.
Following Assad’s fall, Ahmed al-Sharaa, former leader of the Islamist armed group Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), was appointed president in January 2025 by a conference of armed groups. In March, he signed a constitutional declaration establishing a five year transitional period, which is to end in elections and involve the adoption of a new constitution. The country remains territorially fragmented due to the civil war, with the transitional government lacking control over large areas amid internal divisions and foreign military presence. In the northeast, the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) have agreed to integrate into national institutions, but obstacles persist. Along the coast, Assad-era loyalists retain influence, and Russia operates military bases. Turkey holds a strong military presence in the north, while Israel has expanded its occupation in the southwest and seeks to gain sway over Druze communities.
Sectarian tensions hinder national cohesion. Assad loyalist armed groups in Alawite-majority coastal regions have resisted the transitional government’s authority, and reprisals, including massacres of Alawite civilians, raise fears of escalating cycles of violence. Social divisions over the role of religion in public life and ethnic and national identity persist. With an entire generation raised amid war and lacking education or jobs, Syria faces major challenges rebuilding human capital and creating opportunities. Since Assad’s fall, 1.2 million people have returned, while 16.5 million still need humanitarian aid.
In Syria, women's political representation is limited, with only one woman among the transitional government’s 23 ministers. Gender equality is also undermined by laws discriminating against women in citizenship, personal status, and inheritance. LGBTQIA+ individuals face discrimination and violence and same-sex relations are criminalized.
Looking ahead, Rule of Law will be crucial to monitor, particularly amid ongoing cases of sectarian violence impacting Personal Integrity and Security. Access to Justice also demands attention, especially regarding how existing and emerging transitional justice mechanisms may address past crimes. Basic Welfare should be watched for the potential impact of sanctions relief on economic recovery and living conditions.
Last Updated: June 2025
https://www.idea.int/democracytracker/
November 2025
Court opens first major trial over March coastal mass killings
On 18 November, the Aleppo Court of Justice opened the first criminal trial concerning the mass killings in Syria’s Alawite-majority coastal regions in March 2025, in which over 1,400 people were killed (many of them civilians). The case stems from a special fact-finding committee appointed by the transitional government, which referred 563 suspects for investigation. The defendants include former regime loyalists, accused of attacking the transitional government’s security forces, as well as members of these security forces, who are charged with killing civilians. The trial marks the first instance since the fall of Assad in December 2024 in which suspected perpetrators of mass violence are being prosecuted.
Sources: Enab Baladi (1), Enab Baladi (2), Syria Direct, International IDEA
October 2025
Syria holds indirect parliamentary elections for transitional period
On 5 October, Syria held indirect parliamentary elections to fill 119 of the 210 seats in the new People’s Assembly, the country’s unicameral parliament, which will serve a 30-month transitional term. Under a temporary electoral law issued in August, two-thirds of the seats were to be chosen through electoral colleges, while the remaining third would be appointed by President Al-Sharaa. Approximately 6,000 electoral-college members (selected via district subcommittees) voted for 1,578 pre-listed candidates, 14 per cent of whom were women. Voting did not take place in the governorates of Sweida, Raqqa, and Al-Hasakah due to insecurity and lack of full government control. Only six women were elected among the 119 seats, suggesting that Al-Sharaa may need to appoint additional women to meet the 20 per cent quota established under the temporary electoral law. Al-Sharaa has not yet made his 70 appointments, and the 21 seats in governorates where elections were postponed remain vacant.
Sources: Syrian Arab News Agency, Al Jazeera, The New Arab, Arab Reform Initiative, Enab Baladi
July 2025
Druze-Bedouin clashes in Sweida escalate with government and Israeli intervention
On 12 July, armed clashes erupted in the southern Sweida region between local Druze militias and Bedouin communities, resulting in at least 1,000 deaths and the displacement of over 145,000 people. The fighting, which escalated following the intervention of Syrian government forces and Israel’s airstrikes, triggered a humanitarian crisis, with power outages, water shortages, and collapsed medical services. Human rights groups documented abuses by all sides, including extrajudicial killings and attacks on civilians. The violence left the city of Sweida effectively under Druze militia control, and Bedouin civilians were evacuated by the government.
Sources: Al Arabiya, Reuters, Middle East Eye, Human Rights Watch, United Nations
May 2025
New transitional justice and missing persons commissions formed
On 17 May, two presidential decrees established the National Commission for Transitional Justice (NCTJ) and the National Commission for the Missing and Forcibly Disappeared (NCM). According to the transitional government, the commissions are intended to provide access to truth, accountability, and redress for victims of the civil war. The NCTJ will be mandated to investigate serious human rights violations committed during the conflict, with a scope limited to crimes attributed to the former Assad regime. The NCM will be responsible for documenting cases of enforced disappearance, developing a national database, and assisting families to locate missing relatives. Its mandate applies to all cases of missing and forcibly disappeared persons, regardless of the responsible party. Overall, observers described the creation of the commissions as a step forward in the establishment of national transitional justice mechanisms, while noting that their effectiveness will depend on implementation.
Sources: Syrian Arab News Agency, Syria TV, Presidency of the Syrian Arab Republic (1), Presidency of the Syrian Arab Republic (2), The International, Impartial and Independent Mechanism, Justice Info (1), Justice Info (2)
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