Lebanon
Lebanon exhibits mid-level performance in the Representation, Rights and Participation categories of the Global State of Democracy framework, while scoring in the low range in Rule of Law. Compared to five years prior, it has experienced significant declines in Effective Parliament, Access to Justice, Basic Welfare, Absence of Corruption and Personal Integrity and Security. Lebanon’s economy, traditionally driven primarily by banking, tourism, and real estate, has been devastated by years of mismanagement. The 2024 war between Israel and Hezbollah inflicted billions of dollars in physical damage and economic loss. Poverty has surged over the past decade and now affects 44 per cent of the population.
Lebanon gained independence in 1943 after 23 years of French colonial rule. Before that, it was under Ottoman rule for nearly 400 years until the end of World War I. The country, known for its ethno-sectarian diversity—including sects of Shia and Sunni Muslims and Christians—has a complex political landscape shaped by a devastating civil war from 1975 to 1990. The 1989 Taif Agreement brought an end to the war by instituting power-sharing principles for its key executive and parliamentary positions, yet it failed to address the underlying conflicts, particularly concerning religious identity and refugees. The aftermath of the war solidified sectarian divisions in Lebanon's political sphere and facilitated the rise of influential militias and gave rise to hybrid security governance. Foreign involvement, notably the prolonged presence of Syrian military forces until 2005, significantly shaped the country's post-war dynamics. The assassination of Prime Minister Rafik Hariri that year led to the political forces splitting into two main political blocs: the pro-Syrian March 8 alliance (including Hezbollah and Amal) and the anti-Syrian March 14 alliance (led by the Future Movement). Although, the influence of these blocs has diminished, their legacies continue to impact political discourse, particularly regarding Syrian refugees and Hezbollah's political and military role in Lebanon. While in 2022 the Hezbollah-led bloc lost its majority in parliament, its involvement in politics has become a key state legitimacy challenge.
Lebanon continues to face persistent challenges, including institutional dysfunction, corruption, and socio-economic inequality. The long-stalled investigation into the 2020 Beirut port explosion—only recently resumed—has underscored institutional weaknesses, while public trust in governance and justice remains deeply eroded. This has been further compounded by regional instability, including the 2024 Israeli invasion of Lebanon, which inflicted extensive infrastructural damage and heavy civilian casualties until a fragile ceasefire was reached. Amid these ongoing challenges, there has been renewed political momentum: the 2025 election of a new president ended a two-year vacancy, a reform-oriented government was established, and long-delayed municipal elections were held.
Lebanon scores in the mid-range on Gender Equality, with gains in women’s education and workforce participation, despite persisting gender gaps. Women hold only 6.3 percent of parliamentary seats, and discriminatory personal status laws continue to undermine women's rights in many areas. Despite repressive bans on gatherings, an active civil society advocates for LGBTQIA+ rights. However, same-sex relations between men remain criminalized.
Looking ahead, close attention should be paid to Representation and Rule of Law, as the formation of a new government offers a window of opportunity to overcome political deadlock and implement long-overdue reforms. In this context, Judicial Independence and Absence of Corruption will be key areas to monitor, alongside developments in Access to Justice, most notably the reopening of the investigation into the 2020 Beirut port explosion.
Last Updated: June 2025
https://www.idea.int/democracytracker/
August 2026
Parliament abolishes the death penalty
On 11 August, Parliament approved legislation abolishing the death penalty for all crimes and replacing existing death sentences with life imprisonment, making Lebanon the first country in the region to formally abolish capital punishment. The reform was widely welcomed by human rights organizations as a landmark step toward strengthening the protection of the right to life. Although a de facto moratorium on executions had been maintained since 2004, the death penalty remained on the statute books for offences including murder and treason, and 85 people were still under sentence of death as of January 2026.
Sources: L’Orient Le Jour, Reuters, Amnesty International
March 2026
Parliamentary elections postponed by two years until 2028
On 9 March, Parliament voted to postpone the country’s legislative elections, originally scheduled for May 2026, extending the mandate of incumbent institutions by two years until 2028. The decision was justified on security and logistical grounds, with officials citing the constraints on conducting nationwide voting under unstable conditions marked by the internal displacement and insecurity caused by the armed conflict between Israel and Hezbollah.
Update: On 7 April, the Constitutional Council unanimously rejected appeals challenging the extension of Parliament’s mandate until May 2028, effectively upholding the postponement of elections. The court held that exceptional security conditions justified the delay, while stressing that the extension should be shortened should circumstances permit.
Sources: The New Arab, Naharnet, L’Orient Today
November 2025
Government submits diaspora voting rights bill to parliament
On 7 November, the government submitted a bill to Parliament that would allow citizens living abroad to vote for any of the 128 parliamentary seats in the 2026 legislative elections, with their ballots counted in their home districts. The proposal would temporarily suspend Article 112 of the 2017 electoral law, which provides for a separate diaspora constituency to elect six additional MPs under a fixed sectarian quota, one for each major confession (Maronite, Orthodox, Catholic, Sunni, Shiite, Druze). This constituency, which critics warn may reinforce sectarian divisions, was never established. In both the 2018 and 2022 elections, overseas voters cast ballots in their home districts under temporary arrangements similar to the current proposal, which supporters argue would give diaspora voters the same influence over seat allocation as residents. The bill is contentious—with different sects favoring different approaches—and it remains unclear whether the Speaker of Parliament will allow a vote.
Sources: L’Orient Today (1), L’Orient Today (2), The National, Kullana Irada, The Electoral Knowledge Network
October 2025
Ministry of Justice appoints new investigative judges
On 9 October, the Ministry of Justice appointed a total of eleven new investigative judges to handle past cases of political assassinations, signalling a renewed effort to pursue long-standing investigations. Aimed at strengthening the judiciary’s capacity to manage politically sensitive cases, the measure could shape future access to justice, particularly given that dozens of high-profile cases remain unresolved. Many of these cases date back decades and have historically remained unresolved due to weaknesses within the judicial system, political interference and sectarian divisions. The cases pending resolution include the assassinations of MPs Antoine Ghanem (2007) and Gebran Tueni (2005), journalist Samir Kassir (2005), former minister Elie Hobeika (2002), as well as other events such as the Ehden massacre (1978) and the attempted assassination of former President Camille Chamoun (1980) during the Lebanese civil war, among others. Going forward, new procedural steps in these reopened cases could serve as potential indicators of meaningful progress.
Sources: Naharnet, L’Orient Today, LBC International, MTV Lebanon
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