Thailand
Thailand exhibits low-range performance across two categories of the Global State of Democracy Framework: Rights and Rule of Law; it performs in the mid-range in Representation and Participation. It is among the bottom 25 per cent of countries in Freedom of Expression, Access to Justice and Predictable Enforcement, among other factors.. Over the last five years, Thailand has experienced declines in Freedom of Movement and Economic Equality, but advances in several factors of Representation and Freedom of Expression, largely due to openings preceding the 2023 election. It is home to Southeast Asia’s second largest economy, relying on diverse industries, including tourism, export-oriented manufacturing, and agricultural products.
Unlike its neighbours, Thailand was never directly colonized. It was ruled by an absolute monarchy until 1932, when a revolution resulted in a constitutional monarchy. Since then, the country has alternated between military and civilian rule, and the military, the economic elite and the monarchy remain closely interlinked. Over the past decade, significant developments include the 2014 military coup that ended a period of democratization (1992-2006) and the opening of political and civic space since 2018. Since 2014, Thailand had been under military rule, which exerted total control of the political process thanks to a tailor-made constitution designed to cement the armed forces’ grip on power. Protests in 2020-2021 demanded restraining the power of the military and, for the first time in modern Thailand, of the monarch. Military rule and the King’s support of the former remain the main obstacles for democratization. The 2023 election signaled a potential turning point, as opposition parties emerged victorious. However, conservative and military influences persist in shaping the political landscape, exemplified by the dissolution of the main opposition party in 2024. .
The dominant ethnic group is Thai (98 per cent), followed by Burmese (1 per cent) and other groups, including Chinese and Malay Muslim minorities. Chinese minorities play an influential role in business and politics. Separately, some Malay Muslims have influenced dynamics in the South, where separatist tensions exist. Yet, Thai nationalism and assimilation have – to a certain extent - diluted the differences amongst the various communities. In November 2024, Thailand approved a resolution to fast-track permanent residency and citizenship for approximately one million stateless persons, primarily from ethnic minorities and hill tribes. The country is largely Theravada Buddhist, except in the southern regions, where Sunni Islam is predominant. Throughout the twentieth century, the South experienced intermittent violence, with separatist groups challenging central authority. At the beginning of the 2000s, these tensions resurged as armed groups with more Salafist-oriented demands gained more power. The conflict remains unresolved, although attempts at negotiation have occurred in recent years.
Despite constitutional protections and advancements in gender equality within health, education and workforce participation, challenges remain in addressing gender-based violence, wage gaps and low female representation in politics. In June 2024, Thailand became the first country in Southeast Asia to legalize same-sex marriage.
Looking ahead, it will be important to watch Rights, especially as the country continues to grapple with restrictions on the freedom of expression related to the royal defamation law. Rule of Law and Representation will also need monitoring in line with ongoing efforts to amend the 2017 military-drafted constitution with a more democratic one – a process potentially requiring three referendums. Additionally, Free Political Parties will also need monitoring amid persistent efforts to undermine the opposition.
Last updated: June 2025
https://www.idea.int/democracytracker/
August 2026
Political amnesty becomes law, although lèse-majesté excluded
On 24 August, Thailand's 'Promoting a Peaceful Society Act’ entered into force after being published in the Royal Gazette. Intended to promote national reconciliation, the law grants amnesty for eligible offences connected to political demonstrations and expressions committed between 1 January 2005 and 15 July 2025. These include sedition, rebellion, cybercrime offenses and breaches of emergency regulations. The law provides for the release of eligible prisoners, the dismissal of pending cases, the termination of investigations and prosecutions, and the removal of criminal records. Parliament estimated that around 6,000 people could benefit from the measure. However, offences involving corruption, serious violence and lèse-majesté under Section 112 are excluded. Rights advocates welcomed relief for many politically prosecuted individuals but heavily criticized the exclusion of Section 112 offences, which leaves many pro-democracy activists ineligible.
Sources: The Bangkok Post, The Associated Press, Thai Lawyers for Human Rights
February 2026
General election held alongside constitutional referendum
On 8 February, Thailand held a snap election for all 500 seats in the House of Representatives alongside a constitutional referendum. The ruling Bhumjaithai Party won the largest number of seats, securing 192, followed by the main opposition People’s Party with 120 and Pheu Thai, which had led the previous government until September 2025, with 74. No party obtained a majority, and Bhumjaithai subsequently formed a governing coalition. Voter turnout was 71.4 per cent, down from 75.6 per cent in the 2023 election. Women won 99 seats (19.8 per cent), up from 96 (19.2 per cent) seats in the outgoing House. In the referendum, 60.2 per cent supported beginning the process of drafting a new constitution to replace the 2017 military-era charter, with overall turnout at 69.7 per cent. Election observers found election-day voting peaceful, orderly and generally transparent but later raised concerns about results reporting and whether unique ballot codes could compromise ballot secrecy.
Sources: ANFREL, IPU praline, The Election Commission of Thailand
August 2025
Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra dismissed by Constitutional Court
On 29 August, Thailand’s Constitutional Court dismissed Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra after ruling that she had violated ethical standards in connection with a leaked phone call with former Cambodian Senate President Hun Sen. The decision makes her the fourth affiliated-member of the Shinawatra family to see their term cut short by either a military coup or court ruling. Shinawatra’s removal also reflects a broader trend in Thai politics, where Shinawatra-affiliated public and other reformist figures have been removed from office by conservative or military-aligned forces.
Update: On 9 September, the Supreme Court ordered former Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra (Paetongtarn’s father), to serve a one-year prison sentence for corruption and abuse of power stemming from his 2008 convictions, underscoring the ongoing political tensions surrounding the Shinawatra family.
Sources: International IDEA, The Associated Press, CNN, The Bangkok Post, The Diplomat
July 2025
Cross-border fighting over long-contested temples results in civilian casualties
Armed conflict broke out on the Cambodia-Thailand border on 24 July, killing at least 38 people (including at least 13 civilians), wounding over 200, and displacing at least 300,000 on both sides of the border. The violence broke out after civilians and soldiers from both Cambodia and Thailand engaged in minor altercations and clashes over temples in a long-contested border region. These clashes strained diplomatic tensions as well, and violence continued until acting Thai Prime Minister Phumtham Wechayachai and Cambodian Prime Minister Hun Manet agreed to an unconditional ceasefire on 28 July. No ceasefire violations have been independently confirmed since. The violence is the worst between the two countries since 40 soldiers and civilians died in armed clashes over the same contested temples and borders between 2011 and 2013.
Sources: Associated Press, The Diplomat, The Guardian, Human Rights Watch
Constitutional Court suspends Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra amid ethics probe
On 1 July, Thailand’s Constitutional Court suspended Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra from office due to her conduct revealed in a leaked phone call with former Cambodian Senate President Hun Sen aimed at diffusing ongoing border dispute with Cambodia. Critics highlighted her alleged deference toward Hun Sen, alongside her criticism of a Thai army commander. The petition, launched by 36 senators, accuses Paetongtarn of ‘violating the constitution and breaching ethical standards.’ As a result of the leak, the conservative Bhumjaithai Party withdrew from the government’s ruling coalition in June, leaving it with a slim majority. Moreover, the National Anti-Corruption Commission launched a separate investigation into the matter on 14 July–a ruling in which could lead to a lifetime ban from politics, with a ruling expected by December 2025. Paetongtarn was suspended from her prime ministerial duties until the Court reached a verdict in the ethics probe, but remained in cabinet. Deputy Prime Minister Phumtham Wechayachai assumed the role of acting prime minister.
Sources: The Bangkok Post, The Diplomat, Al Jazeera
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