Mali
Mali exhibits low-range performance in three categories of the Global State of Democracy Framework (Representation, Rights and Rule of Law) but is in the mid-range with regard to Participation. It is among the bottom 25 per cent of countries with regard to multiple factors of Representation and Rule of Law as well as Basic Welfare and Electoral Participation. Over the last five years, there have been significant declines in several factors of Participation, Representation and Rights—many of these linked to the 2020 coup d’état that installed a military junta in power. Mali is a low-income country, heavily dependent on subsistence agriculture, which employs nearly 80 per cent of the population. It ranks among the lowest countries globally on the Human Development Index.
Mali’s history stretches back to the powerful West African empire of the same name, once among the world’s wealthiest nations, with Timbuktu a renowned center of Islamic learning. Mali became part of French West Africa in the late 19th century and gained independence in 1960. Initially a one-party state, Mali transitioned to multi-party democracy in the early 1990s, but its political history has been marked by frequent coups and recurrent separatists uprisings, particularly from Tuareg and Arab groups. In 2012, a group proclaiming the independence of ‘Azawad’ (a self-declared state in northern Mali established by Tuareg rebels) rebelled for the fourth time, triggering the ongoing war. That same year, the Malian army overthrew the civilian government in Bamako because of anger over its tepid response to the uprising. Security remains one of the primary drivers of Malian politics, as conflict with insurgent groups affiliated with the Islamic State and Al-Qaeda has led to high civilian causalities, food insecurity, destabilized rural areas and displaced populations. Since the 2020 and 2021 coups, Mali’s ruling junta has consolidated power by suppressing dissent, dissolving political parties, arresting opposition figures, and suspending elections. Media freedom has been curtailed through the suspension of international outlets. Mali’s withdrawal from ECOWAS, alongside Burkina Faso and Niger, has further isolated the country and reduced avenues for human rights redress.
Corruption remains pervasive across state institutions and fuels insecurity, with patronage networks encouraging political collusion over competition. Ethnic identity continues to shape political dynamics. While the informal practice of ‘cousinage’ fosters interethnic ties and weakens ethnicity-vote linkages in much of the country, the Tuareg of the north remain outside this system, with geographic, cultural, and economic disparities reinforcing political divides. Mali ranks near the bottom globally on gender inequality, with women facing major barriers in education, politics, and the economy. Gender-based violence and female genital mutilation remain widespread across the country. LGBTQIA+ people face heightened discrimination under the 2024 Penal Code, which criminalizes same-sex relations and punishes expressions of support with up to seven years’ imprisonment.
Looking ahead, Mali’s democratic future is uncertain following the junta’s formal dissolution of all political parties and abandonment of the March 2024 transition deadline. As such, Free Political Parties and Elected Government will be critical indicators to monitor, given the shift away from multiparty democracy and the lack of a clear electoral roadmap. Personal Integrity and Security also remains a key concern amid growing repression and continued conflict. Finally, Basic Welfare should be watched, as chronic poverty, displacement, and insecurity continue to erode the population’s ability to meet basic needs.
Last updated: June 2025
https://www.idea.int/democracytracker/
October 2025
Former Prime Minister sentenced to prison over social media post
On 27 October, a Bamako court sentenced former Prime Minister Moussa Mara to two years in prison—one of which is mandatory—along with a fine of XOF 500,000 (EUR 760). Mara, who served as prime minister from 2014 to 2015, was convicted of ‘undermining the credibility of the state’ and ‘opposing legitimate authority’ over a July social media post in which he expressed solidarity with detained opposition figures and vowed to seek justice. Arrested on 1 August, Mara has remained in custody since. His lawyer said they will appeal the ruling, which human rights groups condemned as politically motivated and part of a growing pattern of repression under Mali’s military-led government. The sentencing follows a broader crackdown that has seen opposition leaders, journalists and activists detained, amid what critics describe as shrinking civic space under Colonel Assimi Goïta’s rule. Moreover, country observers note that the case reflects a judiciary increasingly aligned with the junta’s political objectives, pointing to a broader weakening of judicial independence.
Sources: International IDEA, International Crisis Group, Punch, Amnesty International, Africa News, Jeune Afrique
September 2025
Mali, Burkina Faso and Niger announce withdrawal from the International Criminal Court
On 22 September, the military governments of Mali, Burkina Faso and Niger jointly announced their immediate withdrawal from the International Criminal Court (ICC), calling it an ‘instrument of neo-colonial repression’. While the withdrawal will only take legal effect after one year, human rights groups warn the move significantly weakens access to justice, especially as credible domestic mechanisms for investigating atrocity crimes are lacking. The announcement follows a series of joint withdrawals by the three countries, including their coordinated exits the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) in January 2025. ICC investigations into alleged war crimes in Mali are ongoing, and victims’ groups in Burkina Faso and Mali have recently filed complaints implicating national armies and foreign mercenaries in serious abuses. The three governments say they will instead pursue ‘indigenous mechanisms’ for justice, though observers say such systems do not yet exist in practice, raising concerns of rising impunity.
Sources: Bèki Takè, British Broadcasting Corporation, Human Rights Watch, United Nations Human Rights Office of the High Commissioner, Radio France Internationale, International Federation for Human Rights
Al-Qaeda-affiliated JNIM impose economic blockade in the west
On 3 September, al-Qaeda-linked Jama'at Nasr al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM) declared a blockade on Kayes and Nioro, key western regions that provide critical trade corridors linking Bamako to Senegal, Guinea, and Côte d’Ivoire. On 14 September, JNIM militants attacked a convoy of over 100 vehicles under military escort, destroying at least 40 fuel tankers. The blockade has disrupted Mali’s fuel and goods imports, causing shortages and price spikes that threaten livelihoods and basic services in Bamako and other cities. Analysts warn that prolonged supply cuts could deepen economic hardship and trigger social unrest. The blockade marks an unprecedented extension of jihadist operations into areas nearly 1,000 km from their usual strongholds, testing the state’s capacity to protect critical supply routes and sustain essential trade.
Update: In October, the blockade intensified, with JNIM militants torching a convoy of 50 tankers in Sikasso on 17 October and attacking another near Bamako on 28 October. Weekly fuel deliveries dropped to a fifth of normal volumes, triggering severe shortages that led to power cuts, school closures, slowed economic activity, and soaring transportation costs in the capital and across other towns in southern and western Mali.
Sources: International Crisis Group (1), Reuters, Jeune Afrique, Institute for Security Studies - Africa, International Crisis Group (2)
August 2025
Two former prime ministers detained amid crackdown on dissent
On 1 August, authorities arrested former Prime Minister (PM) Moussa Mara on charges of ‘damaging the state’s credibility’ after he expressed solidarity with jailed critics; his trial is set for 29 September. Separately, on 12 August, former PM Choguel Maïga—dismissed in 2024 for criticizing the junta—was detained and charged with embezzlement. The charges stem from an auditor general’s report alleging serious financial irregularities during his time in office, though no trial date has been set. The near-simultaneous prosecution of two former heads of government has raised concerns among political analysts about judicial independence, particularly amid broader efforts by the junta to suppress dissent.
Sources: International Crisis Group, British Broadcasting Corporation, Radio France Internationale, Barron’s, Jeune Afrique, African Press Agency
Decree dissolving political parties suspended; case referred to the Supreme Court
On 25 August, a Bamako court suspended the enforcement of a decree issued in May that dissolved all political parties and affiliated organizations, pending a constitutional review. The ruling temporarily restores a legal framework for political activity and refers the case to the Supreme Court, which may transfer it to the Constitutional Court. The May decree, justified by authorities as a reform to reduce party fragmentation, had sparked domestic and international criticism for curbing political freedoms. The suspension follows months of postponed hearings and comes amid growing concerns over the junta’s concentration of power.
Sources: African Press Agency, International Crisis Group, Barron’s, Jeune Afrique, International IDEA
July 2025
Mali's new charter allows unlimited terms for junta leader
On 10 July, Mali’s transitional president General Assimi Goïta enacted a revised Transitional Charter granting himself a five-year presidential mandate, renewable indefinitely until national ‘pacification’ is achieved. The new charter—adopted unanimously by the military-appointed National Transitional Council (CNT) on 3 July—extends the transition period well beyond its original end date of 26 March 2024 and allows Goïta, cabinet ministers, and CNT members to contest future elections. This development follows the junta’s earlier dissolution of all political parties in May and comes amid ongoing armed conflict, economic crisis, and growing repression of civil and political freedoms. While officials say elections could be held sooner if conditions permit, critics argue the charter entrenches military rule and delays a return to civilian governance.
Sources: France 24, British Broadcasting Corporation, African Press Agency News, Radio France Internationale, Africa News, International IDEA
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