Tunisia
Tunisia performs at the mid-range across all categories of the Global State of Democracy (GSoD) framework. It is among the top 25 per cent of countries with regard to Access to Justice, while it performs at the bottom 25 per cent in Electoral Participation. Following the 2011 downfall of the authoritarian Ben Ali regime, Tunisia initially saw notable improvements across the GSoD Indices and reforms that included a new, pluralistic Constitution earned the country widespread plaudits as the Arab Spring ‘success story’. Between 2018 and 2023, Tunisia has experienced declines in several factors of Representation, as well as in Civil Liberties, Judicial Independence, and Civil Society. Recent moves, widely criticized as authoritarian in nature, threaten performance across all measures going forward. Although Tunisia remains one of Africa’s wealthiest countries, economic growth has decelerated, exacerbated by public debt challenges. Sectors such as information and communication technologies, tourism, manufacturing, and organic farming are key, although droughts have affected agriculture.
Tunisia’s history has been marked by Roman, Ottoman, Islamic, Arab, and French influences, among others. The country became a French protectorate in 1881 and gained independence in 1956. Between 1956 and 2011, Tunisia was ruled by authoritarian strongmen, Habib Bourguiba and Zine El Abidine Ben Ali. The 2011 Arab Spring brought the Jasmine Revolution to Tunisia, forcing Ben Ali to flee to Saudi Arabia, leading to his overthrow and the country’s rapid democratization.
Nevertheless, the political space has remained hobbled by significant crises, cleavages and corruption. The rapprochement that characterized the post-revolution era has fractured, giving rise to significant religious divides and political polarization. Secularists, themselves significantly divided, reflect the legacy of former President Bourguiba who championed Tunisian nationalism and women’s rights after the decolonization. Conversely, Islamists support socially conservative policies and pan-Arabism.
Issues of economic development and democratic consolidation have also remained front-and-center. Pressing economic reforms are needed to stabilize the country’s finances, including reducing the size of the public sector and combatting corruption. Economic malaise and poverty have driven public anger, partly evident in street protests. At the same time, Tunisia has struggled to consolidate its democracy, with increasingly autocratic moves such as a new 2022 constitution said to solidify “one-man rule” and the repression of political protests, based on Decree Law 54, has led to the arrests of opposition figures, journalists and lawyers following the dissolution of the Judicial Council. Additionally, a new 2022 electoral system based on amendments by decree, along with party boycotts of elections, has led to the disappearance of political parties from the public sphere. Public support for democracy has also waned over the last decade. Disenchantment with political elites and disengagement has resulted in a sharp decrease in voter participation. The government has explained its moves as attempts to create a new republic that guarantees the state’s unity, stability and Tunisians’ right to a decent life.
Discrimination and social equality matters are also prominent in Tunisian politics. While women’s social positions are more advanced than elsewhere in the Arab world, Islamist criticism and implementation failures have quashed activists’ hopes for critical economic inheritance reforms. Additionally, the 2022 electoral system amendments removed the requirement for gender parity. Only 15.7 per cent of parliamentarians are women.
LGBTQIA+ people face criminalization under active sodomy laws, alongside societal repression and harassment. While the country passed a landmark racial discrimination law in 2018, Black Tunisians continue to face widespread bias, as do migrants and refugees from Sub-Saharan Africa.
Looking ahead, Representation will be an area to watch, as it will be critical to monitor the resilience of the country’s remaining nascent democratic institutions amid pressure from the executive. For now, increasingly restrictive tactics, persisting economic challenges, and enduring social and political divides appear to have stalled the Tunisian democratization project. In this context, it will be relevant to monitor for signs of a hopeful return to the democratic path.
Last Updated: July 2024
https://www.idea.int/democracytracker/
July 2024
Tunisian opposition coalition denounces political crackdown ahead of presidential election
In July, concerns increased regarding the arrest, imprisonment, and disqualification of opposition figures in Tunisia. The National Salvation Front (NSF), a coalition of secular and Islamist parties, accused Tunisian authorities of targeting political opponents to undermine the opposition before the presidential election scheduled for 6 October. Key incidents include travel and media appearance restrictions imposed on a presidential candidate and former Ennahda leader, along with the detention of Ennahda's Secretary-General and two other party members. Additionally, significant legal actions were taken against opposition figures, resulting in two individuals being sentenced to six to eight months in prison, with one also being disqualified from running for the presidency. Some opposition parties plan to boycott the upcoming election, citing unfair conditions.
Sources: Anadolu Ajansi, Amnesty International, L’Économiste Maghrébin, Reuters, Associated Press
January 2024
Election of new second parliamentary chamber marked by low turnout
Tunisia held two rounds of elections to select members of local councils for a five-year term. These elections represent a significant step towards the establishment of the National Council of Regions and Districts, which will serve as a second chamber in the Tunisian parliamentary system. The second parliamentary chamber was established as part of the 2022 constitution. Opposition parties criticized the move as another step towards ‘authoritarian governance’, leading to calls for a boycott of the vote. More than 260 prominent Tunisian figures signed a petition against the election, claiming it aimed to weaken local power.
The electoral process was marked by a lack of public interest and popular engagement was low. Tunisia’s Independent High Electoral Commission (ISIE) confirmed a 12.53 per cent voter turnout in the second round, a slight increase from the 11.7 per cent participation seen during the first round. 779 candidates were elected, including 72 women and 139 candidates under 36 years of age. The ISIE announced that two candidates' results were annulled due to violations; one held dual nationality, while the other was found guilty of electoral offenses. The final results will be announced in March following all administrative court appeals. The first round of elections, held in December 2023, saw 1,348 local council members elected from 6,177 candidates across 2,155 districts.
Sources: Tunis Afrique Presse, Reuters, Africa News, Independent High Authority for Elections of Tunisia, Middle East Eye
August 2023
President Saied appoints new prime minister
On 1 August, President Kais Saied dismissed Prime Minister Najla Bouden and appointed Ahmed Hachani as her replacement. Hachani, who previously served as the human resources director at Tunisia's central bank, steps into his role amid an escalating economic and social crisis in the country.
Saied has publicly expressed dissatisfaction with government officials and the deteriorating public services, including frequent water and electricity disruptions. Her dismissal, for which no official reason was given, coincided with rising shortages, especially of state-subsidised bread. Recent escalations in these shortages have raised concerns of potential civil unrest similar to the deadly bread riots in 1984. President Saied emphasized the urgent need to address these challenges to ‘safeguard the country, its institutions, and societal peace’.
Sources: Tunis Afrique Presse (1), Al Jazeera, Le Monde, North Africa Journal, Tunis Afrique Presse (2), Gulf Times, Middle East Monitor
July 2023
Authorities relocate African migrants amid escalating racial tensions
Tunisia has been grappling with an unprecedented surge in migration, associated with leading to an increase in racially motivated harassment and violence against refugees. In early July, Tunisian security forces reportedly relocated an estimated 1,200 migrants, the majority from sub-Saharan Africa to remote regions near the borders with Libya and Algeria. The expulsions followed days of unrest in the city of Sfax where Tunisians had held protests against the presence of refugees and a local man was killed during the violent confrontations. Human Rights Watch raised concerns on 6 July about the dire humanitarian situation and serious migrant rights violations. Tunisian authorities responded by relocating hundreds of migrants from border areas to town shelters after criticisms surfaced about living conditions. However, there are reports of migrants who have died or are missing in these remote areas, with Libyan authorities finding several bodies on their border with Tunisia. In the first half of 2023, Tunisian authorities rescued over 15,000 migrants and recovered the bodies of 901 more who drowned off its coast, according to the country's Interior Minister.
Sources: Al Jazeera (1), North Africa Post, Reuters (1), North Africa Journal, Human Rights Watch, Middle East Monitor, Reuters (2), Office of the High Commissioner for Human Rights, Al Jazeera (2)
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Global ranking per category of democratic performance in 2023
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Global State of Democracy Indices
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Factors of Democratic Performance Over Time
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