
Iran, Islamic Republic of
General Elections, 1 March 2024
Floods, February-March 2024
Starting 27 February 2024 heavy rainfall, strong winds, thunderstorms and flash flooding wreaked havoc across Iran’s eastern provinces (ECHO, 2024). Kuzestan, Lorestan, Kohgiluyeh and Boyer Ahmad were all provinces which received red flash flood warnings from the Iranian Meteorological Organization with 15 others receiving orange warnings (Iran Wire, 2024). After weeks of continuous floods in eastern Iran, 110 roads were blocked resulting in the isolation of 46 villages and 31 villages also facing water shortages (Iran International Newsroom, 2024; Iran Wire, 2024).
By 6 March 2024 the flood had impacted 63,343 people and destroyed 300 homes damaging 3,100 others (Iran International Newsroom, 2024; IFRC, 2024). Following the flooding, the Iranian government was accused of having an inadequate governmental aid response as citizens blamed the government of abandoning flood victims at the expense of a political agenda (Iran International Newsroom, 2024).
The perpetual rainfall was largely triggered by the El Niño event, however, studies by the World Weather Attribution find that human induced climate-change may be the cause of the increased rainfall in Iran (WWA , 2023; WWA, 2024).
Impact on electoral processes
Iranian Parliamentary and Assembly of Experts elections were held on 1 March 2024 (Reuters 2024). Elections were held in difficult flood conditions in Chahahar rural and urban electoral districts located in Sistan and Baluchistan province. In a statement reported by the Islamic Republic News Agency, the deputy major mentions that vehicles, boats and helicopters will be used to facilitate voter participation (IRNA, 2024).
There were reports of public outrage in response to elections being prioritized above rescue and relief efforts in flood-affected areas (Iran International Newsroom, 2024)
Voter turnout
1 March 2024 marked Iran’s 12th parliamentary election since the 1979 revolution. This year’s parliamentary election had the lowest voter turnout rate of 40.64% in Iran's democratic history. Compared to the last parliamentary election in 2020 which had a voter turnout of 42.32%, the voter turnout in the 2024 election decreased by 2.32% (International IDEA, n.d.; Crisis Group, 2024).
Crisis Group, ‘Closing Circles: Iran’s Exclusionary 2024 Elections.’, 12 March 2024, <https://www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-north-africa/gulf-and-arabian-peninsula/iran/closing-circles-irans-exclusionary-2024>, accessed 14 June 2024.
European Civil Protection and Humanitarian Aid Operations, ‘ECHO Daily Floods’, 05 March 2024, <https://erccportal.jrc.ec.europa.eu/ECHO-Products/Echo-Flash#/daily-flash-archive/5016>, accessed 14 June 2024.
Hafezi, P. and William M. ‘Key facts about Iran's elections on Friday.’ Reuters, 29 February 2024, <https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/key-facts-about-irans-elections-friday-2024-02-29/>, accessed 14 June 2024.
International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies, ‘Iran, Islamic Republic of Flood 2024 – DREF Operation MDRIR014’, 21 March 2024, <https://reliefweb.int/report/ iran-islamic-republic/iran-islamic-republic-flood-2024-dref-operation-mdrir014>, accessed 14 June 2024.
Iran international Newsroom, ‘Iranian Government Accused of Abandoning Flood Victims’, 03 June 2024, <https://www.iranintl.com/en/202403057310>, accessed 14 June 2024.
International IDEA, Voter Turnout Database, n.d., <https://www.idea.int/data-tools/data/country?country=136&database_theme=293>, accessed 12 June 2024
IRNA, ‘Holding elections in the most difficult flood conditions in Chabahar’ 2 March 2024, < https://www.irna.ir/news/85402992/%D9%81%DB%8C%D9%84%D9%85-%D8%A8%D8%B1%DA%AF%D8%B2%D8%A7%D8%B1%DB%8C-%D8%A7%D9%86%D8%AA%D8%AE%D8%A7%D8%A8%D8%A7%D8%AA-%D8%AF%D8%B1-%D8%B3%D8%AE%D8%AA-%D8%AA%D8%B1%DB%8C%D9%86-%D8%B4%D8%B1%D8%A7%DB%8C%D8%B7-%D8%B3%DB%8C%D9%84-%D8%AF%D8%B1-%DA%86%D8%A7%D8%A8%D9%87%D8%A7%D8%B1> accessed 14 June 2024
Iran Wire, ‘Iran Hit by Heavy Rains, Flooding Disrupts Communication Routs’, 26 March 2024, <https://iranwire.com/en/news/126716-iran-hit-by-heavy-rains-flooding-disrupts-communication-routes/>, accessed 14 June 2024.
World Weather Attribution, ‘Human-induced climate change compounded by socio-economic
water stressors increased severity of drought in Syria, Iraq and Iran – World Weather
Attribution’ World Weather Attribution, 8 November 2023, <https://www.worldweather attribution.org/human-induced-climate-change-compounded-by-soc io-economic-water-stressors-increased-severity-of-drought-in-syria-iraq-and-iran/>.
accessed 14 June 2024.
World Weather Attribution, ‘Increasing April-May rainfall, El Niño and high vulnerability behind deadly flooding in Afghanistan, Pakistan, and Iran’, World Weather Attribution, 13 June 2023, <https://www.worldweatherattribution.org/increasing-april-may-rainfall-el-nino-and-high-vulnerability-behind-deadly-flooding-in-afghanistan-pakistan-and-iran/ > accessed 14 June 2024.
