Poland
Following the peaceful fall of communist party rule, Poland transitioned from authoritarianism to weak democracy in 1989. Poland exhibits mid-range performance across all four categories of democracy in the Global State of Democracy framework, showing especially high performance in Basic Welfare, Freedom of Movement and Local Democracy. Poland has experienced significant declines in Representation, Credible Elections, Access to Justice, Judicial Independence and Absence of Corruption over the last five years. It performs in the bottom 25 per cent of the world with regard to Civic Engagement. After the transition from communism, Poland also developed a high-income economy with a level of diversification that is beneficial for income and growth.
Historical memory, rooted in the experiences of World War II and in decades as a satellite state of the Soviet Union, has left a traumatic legacy. This has often been weaponized by politicians, who use these memories to stir up nationalist sentiments. In more recent history, accession to the European Union (EU) in 2004 has sparked ongoing discussion around national versus European identity, with Poles identifying at both levels but also feeling concern about the impact of EU membership on sovereignty. Support for EU membership amongst the public remains above 90 per cent, despite disputes with the EU over certain democratic milestones. A second significant development is the rapid economic liberalization that accompanied democratization in the 1990s, which brought inequality and pronounced regional disparities. This is reflected today in voting patterns, which are spatially divided between the western/northern areas of the country and the eastern/southern. Relatedly, an urban-rural cleavage divides the country, with poorer rural communities supporting economic paternalism and social conservatism. Social conservatism is largely present in the political landscape due to the lasting influence of the Catholic Church. Around 90 per cent of Poles identify as Catholic, a plurality believe in a degree of separation between Church and politics. This debate over secularity forms another cleavage in Polish society, as right-wing parties tend to align themselves to the Catholic Church, using religion to justify further restrictions on abortion rights and promote ‘family values’ at the expense of LGBTQIA+ community rights.
Poland performs in the high range in gender equality; recent positive developments include the amendment of a law on domestic violence, expanding protection measures for victims. However, the data also show gender equality experiencing significant declines over the past decade, which may be attributed to broader concerning developments, including restrictions on women’s access to abortion and the suppression of human rights and LGBTQIA+ activists.
Looking ahead, it will be important to watch the development of Poland’s relationship with the EU, especially in light of the war in Ukraine and a faltering relationship with Viktor Orbán’s Hungary. How the EU and Poland resolve differences over the Rule-of-Law Conditionality Regulation will have important impacts on the Rule of Law. It will also be critical to watch elections in 2023, the results of which will shape the country’s performance across the GSoD indicators.
Monthly Event Reports
February 2024 | Government advances judicial overhaul
The government announced plans to roll back changes made by the previous government between 2015 and 2023, which had expanded political influence over the judiciary. On 20 February, the government approved draft legislation aimed at depoliticising the National Council of the Judiciary (KRS), the body charged with nominating judges. The legislation, which will now go to Parliament, would see KRS judges elected by all Polish judges in a universal and secret ballot (currently, they are appointed by the Sejm, the lower parliamentary house). The planned reforms further aim to tackle disciplinary liability for judges applying EU law, the so-called “muzzle law”, and to discontinue unjustified disciplinary proceedings. Additionally, the plans seek to separate the office of the Minister of Justice and the Prosecutor General. The government has controversially removed the Law and Justice (PiS) party loyalists from key positions by claiming they were illegitimately appointed, including the National Public Prosecutor who was replaced in February.
January 2024 | Tusk's government in conflict with President Duda over arrested MPs
On 9 January, two opposition MPs, the former interior minister and former deputy interior minister, were arrested and stripped of their parliamentary mandates and immunity. In December, the men had been sentenced to two years’ jail for abuse of power committed in 2007. In response, the two MPs took refuge in the Presidential Palace, which hindered the police. Previously, President Andrzej Duda had pardoned them, but the Supreme Court subsequently invalidated that pardon. The men were eventually arrested and went on a hunger strike, claiming to be political prisoners. The opposition Law and Justice party subsequently organized an anti-government protest, drawing tens of thousands of people. On 23 January, the men were released after President Duda issued a new pardon, but it remains unclear whether they should still be considered MPs, since the Constitution bars people with convictions from serving as MPs.
December 2023 | Minister of Culture overhauls management of state media
Following a resolution by the Parliament’s lower house (the Sejm) to restore reliability and impartiality to public media, the current Minister of Culture removed the chairmen and boards of state-owned television, radio, and news agencies. The overhaul of state media was met with protests from the opposition, with PiS MPs staging a sit-in in the state news channel TVP’s headquarters. President Andrzej Duda called the move a violation of the Polish Constitution, stating that a resolution by the Sejm cannot be put above Polish law. While the state media has been heavily criticized by international observers for being influenced by PiS during its time in office, the sudden overhaul of state media by Donald Tusk’s government has raised concerns. The Helsinki Foundation for Human Rights has argued that the dismissal of public media management by a government minister contradicts the requirement for public media to be independent from political interference.
October 2023 | Opposition best placed to form government following elections
Following parliamentary elections held on 15 October, the incumbent Law and Justice (PiS) party won the largest share of the vote (35.4 per cent), but it was unable to hold onto its majority in Parliament. All seats in both houses of Parliament (the Sejm and the Senate) were contested. The main opposition party, Civic Platform (KO), came second with 30.7 per cent of the vote and 157 seats. Its two likely coalition partners, Third Way (Trzecia Droga) and The Left (Lewica) finished with 14.4 per cent of the vote (65 seats) and 8.6 per cent (26 seats) respectively. Far-right Confederation (Konfederacja) secured 7.2 per cent of the vote and 18 seats. Voter turnout was 74.4 per cent. The lower house will comprise 136 women lawmakers (29.6 per cent), and 17 women were elected to the upper house (17 per cent). A total of 44 per cent of candidates standing in the elections were women. According to international observers, the elections were competitive but characterized by public media bias and mismanagement of public resources.
Explore past monthly event reports
GSoD Indices Data 2013-2022
Basic Information
Human Rights Treaties
Global State of Democracy Indices
Hover over the trend lines to see the exact data points across the years
Factors of Democratic Performance Over Time
Use the slider below to see how democratic performance has changed over time